Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 16/08, 02:45
Prediction: North Texas SC vs Portland Timbers II
Team pages: North Texas SC · Portland Timbers II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
North Texas SC1.41
Portland Timbers II1.6
1X2
North Texas SC
Draw
Portland Timbers II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
North Texas SC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Portland Timbers II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
North Texas SC
3–2–1
Portland Timbers II
(6 last)
- Portland Timbers II2-2North Texas SC
- Portland Timbers II1-2North Texas SC
- North Texas SC2-1Portland Timbers II
- North Texas SC4-0Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II2-0North Texas SC
- Portland Timbers II2-2North Texas SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · North Texas SC 1514 · Portland Timbers II 1553
| North Texas SC | Draw | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours North Texas SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Texas SC | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Texas SC 3–2–1 Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | North Texas SC |
| 05/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | North Texas SC |
| 19/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 30/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 11/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | North Texas SC |
| 08/08/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | North Texas SC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Texas SC | Portland Timbers II |
|---|---|---|
| Tacoma Defiance | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| The Town | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Colorado Rapids II | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| St Louis City II | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Texas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Texas SC vs Portland Timbers II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Portland Timbers II win (41%). Probabilities: North Texas SC 33%, draw 26%, Portland Timbers II 41%.
How many goals are expected in North Texas SC vs Portland Timbers II?
The model expects 3.02 goals (North Texas SC 1.41 · Portland Timbers II 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in North Texas SC vs Portland Timbers II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.