Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 16/08, 02:30
Prediction: Austin FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
Team pages: Austin FC II · Vancouver Whitecaps II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Austin FC II2.23
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.1
1X2
Austin FC II
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Austin FC II
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Whitecaps II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austin FC II
2–2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps II
(5 last)
- Vancouver Whitecaps II0-4Austin FC II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II4-0Austin FC II
- Austin FC II1-1Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II1-1Austin FC II
- Austin FC II1-0Vancouver Whitecaps II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austin FC II 1582 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1451
| Austin FC II | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 63% | 19% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1582 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Austin FC II: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC II | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.6 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC II 2–2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Austin FC II |
| 20/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Austin FC II |
| 28/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 20/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 10/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Austin FC II | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
|---|---|---|
| The Town | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| St Louis City II | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC II win (63%). Probabilities: Austin FC II 63%, draw 20%, Vancouver Whitecaps II 17%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Austin FC II 2.23 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.