Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 21/08, 04:00
Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
Team pages: Los Angeles FC II · Sporting Kansas City II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Los Angeles FC II2.19
Sporting Kansas City II1.25
1X2
Los Angeles FC II
Draw
Sporting Kansas City II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC II
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Sporting Kansas City II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC II
2–4
Sporting Kansas City II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II1-3Sporting Kansas City II
- Sporting Kansas City II0-3Los Angeles FC II
- Sporting Kansas City II4-3Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II2-1Sporting Kansas City II
- Los Angeles FC II0-2Sporting Kansas City II
- Sporting Kansas City II2-1Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC II 1521 · Sporting Kansas City II 1492
| Los Angeles FC II | Draw | Sporting Kansas City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sporting Kansas City II: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Sporting Kansas City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 2–0–4 Sporting Kansas City II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 24/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 08/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 19/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 10/04/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 35 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 55 | 20 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC II | Sporting Kansas City II |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids II | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| North Texas SC | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Houston Dynamo II | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Minnesota United FC II | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Austin FC II | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Sporting Kansas City II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (58%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 58%, draw 21%, Sporting Kansas City II 20%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Los Angeles FC II 2.19 · Sporting Kansas City II 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.