Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 31/08, 04:30
Prediction: The Town vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: The Town · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
The Town1.71
Los Angeles FC II1.42
1X2
The Town
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
The Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Town
5–1
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II2-1The Town
- The Town4-1Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-4The Town
- Los Angeles FC II1-2The Town
- The Town5-1Los Angeles FC II
- The Town2-0Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Town 1454 · Los Angeles FC II 1522
| The Town | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC II (rating 1454 vs 1522).
- H2H favours The Town: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Town | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Town 5–0–1 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | The Town |
| 09/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 04/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-4 HT 1-2 | The Town |
| 02/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | The Town |
| 28/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 30/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 44 | 40 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 42 | 35 |
| 9 | The Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 33 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 46 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Town | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo II | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Ventura County FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| North Texas SC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Portland Timbers II | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Town vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Town win (44%). Probabilities: The Town 44%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC II 31%.
How many goals are expected in The Town vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.13 goals (The Town 1.71 · Los Angeles FC II 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in The Town vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.