Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 22/08, 23:00
Prediction: New York City FC II vs New England Revolution II
Team pages: New York City FC II · New England Revolution II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.92Total
New York City FC II1.83
New England Revolution II2.1
1X2
New York City FC II
Draw
New England Revolution II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New York City FC II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
New England Revolution II
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New York City FC II
0–1–5
New England Revolution II
(6 last)
- New England Revolution II3-0New York City FC II
- New England Revolution II3-2New York City FC II
- New York City FC II1-3New England Revolution II
- New York City FC II0-1New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-1New York City FC II
- New England Revolution II3-3New York City FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New York City FC II 1510 · New England Revolution II 1521
| New York City FC II | Draw | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours New England Revolution II: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New York City FC II | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New York City FC II 0–1–5 New England Revolution II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 3-0 HT 3-0 | New York City FC II |
| 10/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | New York City FC II |
| 19/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | New England Revolution II |
| 31/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 26/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | New York City FC II |
| 26/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 3-3 HT 1-2 | New York City FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 32 | 48 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 32 | 44 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 42 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 42 |
| 5 | CT United | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 40 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 38 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 37 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 36 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 36 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 43 | 35 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 32 | 33 |
| 12 | Huntsville City | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 42 | 32 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 42 | 30 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 53 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 53 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New York City FC II | New England Revolution II |
|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati II | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Columbus Crew II | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Philadelphia Union II | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| CT United | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: New York City FC II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New York City FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 26/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 09/08 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New York City FC II vs New England Revolution II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an New England Revolution II win (44%). Probabilities: New York City FC II 33%, draw 23%, New England Revolution II 44%.
How many goals are expected in New York City FC II vs New England Revolution II?
The model expects 3.92 goals (New York City FC II 1.83 · New England Revolution II 2.1), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in New York City FC II vs New England Revolution II?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.