Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 23/08, 22:00

Prediction: Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami CF II

Team pages: Chicago Fire II · Inter Miami CF II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Chicago Fire II2.57

Inter Miami CF II1.19

1X2

67% 18% 15%

Chicago Fire II Draw Inter Miami CF II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chicago Fire II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWWLWL

Inter Miami CF II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Chicago Fire II 3–3–0 Inter Miami CF II (6 last)

Chicago Fire II3-1Inter Miami CF II
Inter Miami CF II1-1Chicago Fire II
Inter Miami CF II1-3Chicago Fire II
Chicago Fire II2-2Inter Miami CF II
Chicago Fire II2-2Inter Miami CF II
Inter Miami CF II1-3Chicago Fire II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chicago Fire II 1537 · Inter Miami CF II 1431

	Chicago Fire II	Draw	Inter Miami CF II
Our model	66%	19%	15%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chicago Fire II (rating 1537 vs 1431).
H2H favours Chicago Fire II: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chicago Fire II	Inter Miami CF II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.7	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.33▲	Pinn 1.36
X	5.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.28 ★
2	7.00 → 5.75▼	Pinn 5.94

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:14 +10’	1.27	5.50	7.00
23:24 +5’	1.33▲	5.00▼	5.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:24	1.36	5.28	5.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Fire II 3–3–0 Inter Miami CF II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Chicago Fire II	3-1 HT 1-0	Inter Miami CF II
28/02/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Inter Miami CF II	1-1 HT 0-0	Chicago Fire II
26/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Inter Miami CF II	1-3 HT 0-1	Chicago Fire II
07/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Chicago Fire II	2-2 HT 1-1	Inter Miami CF II
14/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Chicago Fire II	2-2 HT 1-2	Inter Miami CF II
27/03/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Inter Miami CF II	1-3 HT 1-1	Chicago Fire II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	23	12	7	4	54	32	48
2	Chattanooga FC	23	11	7	5	43	32	44
3	New England Revolution II	23	11	6	6	39	32	42
4	Columbus Crew II	22	11	5	6	41	35	42
5	CT United	23	12	2	9	45	39	40
6	New York Red Bulls II	23	11	4	8	45	38	38
7	Atlanta United II	23	11	4	8	47	37	37
8	New York City FC II	22	10	4	8	40	34	36
9	Chicago Fire II	23	9	6	8	46	36	36
10	Orlando City II	23	8	7	8	42	43	35
11	Philadelphia Union II	23	9	4	10	28	32	33
12	Huntsville City	23	8	6	9	37	42	32
13	Toronto FC II	22	8	4	10	37	42	30
14	Carolina Core FC	23	5	8	10	32	40	26
15	FC Cincinnati II	23	4	2	17	24	53	16
16	Inter Miami CF II	22	2	4	16	20	53	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chicago Fire II	Inter Miami CF II
Atlanta United II	1-2 L	1-4 L
Toronto FC II	2-4 L	2-1 W
FC Cincinnati II	7-2 W	0-1 L
Carolina Core FC	5-1 W	0-4 L
Crown Legacy	2-3 L	0-2 L
Huntsville City	2-2 D	0-2 L
Chattanooga FC	2-2 D	0-1 L
New England Revolution II	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Chicago Fire II (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chicago Fire II

WDDWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/08	Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
15/08	Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
10/08	Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
02/08	FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League	4-2	7-2	9	1	W
26/07	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	3-0	5-1	3	6	W
18/07	Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-3	6	2	L
12/07	New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	3-0	2	7	W
06/07	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	2-2	5	1	D
28/06	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
21/06	New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	2-1	5	2	W

Inter Miami CF II

DLLLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League	3-1	4-2	1	3	W
17/08	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-2	4	9	L
08/08	Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
01/08	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
25/07	Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	2-1	1	8	W
23/07	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	0-4	9	3	L
12/07	Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-4	4	3	L
05/07	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/06	FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
21/06	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami CF II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chicago Fire II win (67%). Probabilities: Chicago Fire II 67%, draw 18%, Inter Miami CF II 15%.

How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami CF II?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Chicago Fire II 2.57 · Inter Miami CF II 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami CF II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.