Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 16/08, 00:00
Prediction: Columbus Crew II vs New York City FC II
Team pages: Columbus Crew II · New York City FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Columbus Crew II1.69
New York City FC II1.51
1X2
Columbus Crew II
Draw
New York City FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
New York City FC II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew II
1–3–2
New York City FC II
(6 last)
- New York City FC II2-3Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II0-0New York City FC II
- New York City FC II3-1Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II1-1New York City FC II
- New York City FC II2-0Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II2-2New York City FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Columbus Crew II 1518 · New York City FC II 1536
| Columbus Crew II | Draw | New York City FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 42% | 24% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours New York City FC II: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew II | New York City FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew II 1–3–2 New York City FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 08/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | New York City FC II |
| 23/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 13/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | New York City FC II |
| 15/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 02/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 2-2 HT 1-1 | New York City FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 54 | 30 | 48 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 32 | 44 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 33 | 39 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 38 |
| 6 | Orlando City II | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 41 | 35 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 34 |
| 8 | CT United | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 34 |
| 9 | New York City FC II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 34 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 42 | 30 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 30 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 42 | 29 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 45 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew II | New York City FC II |
|---|---|---|
| CT United | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Philadelphia Union II | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| New England Revolution II | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Orlando City II | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Atlanta United II | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Columbus Crew II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
New York City FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 26/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew II vs New York City FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew II win (41%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew II 41%, draw 25%, New York City FC II 34%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew II vs New York City FC II?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Columbus Crew II 1.69 · New York City FC II 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew II vs New York City FC II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.