Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 17/08, 01:00
Prediction: New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II
Team pages: New England Revolution II · Philadelphia Union II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
New England Revolution II2.04
Philadelphia Union II0.98
1X2
New England Revolution II
Draw
Philadelphia Union II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New England Revolution II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Philadelphia Union II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New England Revolution II
2–2–2
Philadelphia Union II
(6 last)
- New England Revolution II0-4Philadelphia Union II
- Philadelphia Union II0-1New England Revolution II
- Philadelphia Union II1-3New England Revolution II
- Philadelphia Union II2-2New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II0-0Philadelphia Union II
- New England Revolution II1-2Philadelphia Union II
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England Revolution II (rating 1571 vs 1466).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England Revolution II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.6 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution II 2–2–2 Philadelphia Union II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Philadelphia Union II |
| 14/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 24/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 1-3 HT 0-3 | New England Revolution II |
| 27/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | New England Revolution II |
| 09/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Philadelphia Union II |
| 07/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Philadelphia Union II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 54 | 30 | 48 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 32 | 44 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 33 | 39 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 38 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City II | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 43 | 35 |
| 8 | Atlanta United II | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 34 |
| 9 | CT United | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 34 |
| 10 | New York City FC II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 42 | 30 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 30 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 42 | 29 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 45 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New England Revolution II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls II | 4-1 W | 0-5 L |
| FC Cincinnati II | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| New York City FC II | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Columbus Crew II | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: New England Revolution II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Philadelphia Union II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 26/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England Revolution II win (61%). Probabilities: New England Revolution II 61%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union II 16%.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The model expects 3.02 goals (New England Revolution II 2.04 · Philadelphia Union II 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.