Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 25/07, 23:00
Prediction: Inter Miami CF II vs Toronto FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Inter Miami CF II1.46
Toronto FC II1.78
1X2
Inter Miami CF II
Draw
Toronto FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Miami CF II
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Toronto FC II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inter Miami CF II
1–1–4
Toronto FC II
(6 last)
- Toronto FC II2-0Inter Miami CF II
- Inter Miami CF II0-1Toronto FC II
- Toronto FC II2-1Inter Miami CF II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF II 1395 · Toronto FC II 1472
| Inter Miami CF II | Draw | Toronto FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toronto FC II (rating 1395 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Toronto FC II: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Miami CF II | Toronto FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.7 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF II 1–1–4 Toronto FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Toronto FC II | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 11/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Toronto FC II |
| 27/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Toronto FC II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 22/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Toronto FC II | 6-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 12/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Toronto FC II |
| 15/09/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | Toronto FC II | 3-4 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 27 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City II | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City FC II | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Miami CF II | Toronto FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Cincinnati II | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Columbus Crew II | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Toronto FC II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Toronto FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 13/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF II vs Toronto FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Toronto FC II win (45%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF II 31%, draw 24%, Toronto FC II 45%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF II vs Toronto FC II?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Inter Miami CF II 1.46 · Toronto FC II 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF II vs Toronto FC II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.