Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/07, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs Orlando City II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Chattanooga FC2.17
Orlando City II1.39
1X2
Chattanooga FC
Draw
Orlando City II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Orlando City II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga FC
3–1–2
Orlando City II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga FC 1543 · Orlando City II 1537
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chattanooga FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 3–1–2 Orlando City II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 5-2 HT 1-2 | Chattanooga FC |
| 12/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Orlando City II |
| 10/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 02/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga FC |
| 06/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Orlando City II |
| 28/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orlando City II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 36 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | Orlando City II | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 32 | 33 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 27 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 27 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | CT United | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 22 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | Orlando City II |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Inter Miami CF II | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Atlanta United II | 4-4 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Cincinnati II | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando City II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Orlando City II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs Orlando City II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga FC win (54%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 54%, draw 23%, Orlando City II 23%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs Orlando City II?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Chattanooga FC 2.17 · Orlando City II 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs Orlando City II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.