Prediction: Atlanta United II vs Inter Miami CF II
Expected goals: 3.94 (Atlanta United II 2.8 · Inter Miami CF II 1.14). The model gives 72% home, 16% draw, 13% away. Under 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Atlanta United II with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Inter Miami CF II has piled up 0-1-9 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Atlanta United II and 2 for Inter Miami CF II, with 1 draw.
| Atlanta United II | Draw | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 16% | 12% |
| Market | 72% | 15% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlanta United II (rating 1545 vs 1386).
- H2H favours Atlanta United II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlanta United II | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlanta United II 3–1–2 Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 28/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 04/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 06/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 25/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 19/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atlanta United II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 31 |
| 6 | Orlando City II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 31 | 30 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union II | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | CT United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlanta United II | Inter Miami CF II |
|---|---|---|
| Crown Legacy | 3-3 D | 1-5 L |
| Columbus Crew II | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Chattanooga FC | 4-4 D | 0-1 L |
| Chicago Fire II | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Huntsville City | 6-2 W | 2-4 L |
| Orlando City II | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Carolina Core FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlanta United II (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlanta United II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 22/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 6-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlanta United II vs Inter Miami CF II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlanta United II win (72%). Probabilities: Atlanta United II 72%, draw 16%, Inter Miami CF II 13%.
How many goals are expected in Atlanta United II vs Inter Miami CF II?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Atlanta United II 2.8 · Inter Miami CF II 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United II vs Inter Miami CF II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.