Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/07, 00:00
Prediction: Columbus Crew II vs Philadelphia Union II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Columbus Crew II1.77
Philadelphia Union II1.35
1X2
Columbus Crew II
Draw
Philadelphia Union II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew II
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Philadelphia Union II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew II
0–2–4
Philadelphia Union II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Columbus Crew II 1540 · Philadelphia Union II 1501
| Columbus Crew II | Draw | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Philadelphia Union II: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew II 0–2–4 Philadelphia Union II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Columbus Crew II |
| 14/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Philadelphia Union II |
| 21/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Philadelphia Union II |
| 11/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 02/11/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 27/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Columbus Crew II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 36 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | Orlando City II | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 32 | 33 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 27 | 32 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 30 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 27 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | CT United | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 22 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution II | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Orlando City II | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Atlanta United II | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| New York City FC II | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Toronto FC II | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Philadelphia Union II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew II vs Philadelphia Union II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew II win (47%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew II 47%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union II 29%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Columbus Crew II 1.77 · Philadelphia Union II 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.