Prediction: Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II
Expected goals: 3.72 (Crown Legacy 2.28 · Orlando City II 1.43). The model gives 56% home, 22% draw, 23% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Crown Legacy is 3-5-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Orlando City II 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Crown Legacy and 3 for Orlando City II, with 3 draws.
| Crown Legacy | Draw | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Orlando City II: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crown Legacy | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.2 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.7 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crown Legacy 0–3–3 Orlando City II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Crown Legacy |
| 01/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Crown Legacy |
| 07/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Orlando City II |
| 27/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orlando City II |
| 08/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Orlando City II |
| 11/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Crown Legacy |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Chattanooga FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 28 |
| 7 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 21 |
| 12 | CT United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 27 | 12 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crown Legacy | Orlando City II |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Carolina Core FC | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Philadelphia Union II | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| New England Revolution II | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Inter Miami CF II | 5-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Chicago Fire II | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Chattanooga FC | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando City II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crown Legacy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
Orlando City II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crown Legacy win (56%). Probabilities: Crown Legacy 56%, draw 22%, Orlando City II 23%.
How many goals are expected in Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Crown Legacy 2.28 · Orlando City II 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crown Legacy vs Orlando City II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.