Prediction: Crown Legacy vs New York City FC II
Expected goals: 3.68 (Crown Legacy 2.26 · New York City FC II 1.42). The model gives 55% home, 22% draw, 23% away. Under 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Crown Legacy is 3-5-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and New York City FC II 6-1-3 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Crown Legacy won 3 and New York City FC II 0, with 1 draw.
| Crown Legacy | Draw | New York City FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Crown Legacy: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crown Legacy | New York City FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.6 | 3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.7 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crown Legacy 3–1–0 New York City FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 2-2 HT 0-0 | New York City FC II |
| 28/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Crown Legacy |
| 23/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 4-3 HT 3-2 | New York City FC II |
| 01/05/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York City FC II | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Crown Legacy |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 31 |
| 6 | Orlando City II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 31 | 30 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union II | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | CT United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crown Legacy | New York City FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core FC | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Philadelphia Union II | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| New England Revolution II | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Chicago Fire II | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Chattanooga FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crown Legacy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
New York City FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crown Legacy vs New York City FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crown Legacy win (55%). Probabilities: Crown Legacy 55%, draw 22%, New York City FC II 23%.
How many goals are expected in Crown Legacy vs New York City FC II?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Crown Legacy 2.26 · New York City FC II 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crown Legacy vs New York City FC II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.