Football · Chile Primera B · 25/07, 23:30
Prediction: Cobreloa vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Cobreloa1.98
Club Deportes Santa Cruz0.76
1X2
Cobreloa
Draw
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cobreloa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cobreloa
2–4–0
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
(6 last)
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz0-0Cobreloa
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-2Cobreloa
- Cobreloa1-1Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobreloa 1537 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1492
| Cobreloa | Draw | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1537 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobreloa | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobreloa 2–4–0 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 04/10/25 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 24/05/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 21/09/23 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 23/04/23 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cobreloa |
| 01/08/22 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cobreloa |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobreloa | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Antofagasta | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cobreloa (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobreloa vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobreloa win (65%). Probabilities: Cobreloa 65%, draw 22%, Club Deportes Santa Cruz 13%.
How many goals are expected in Cobreloa vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Cobreloa 1.98 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobreloa vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.