Prediction: Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt
Team pages: Deportes Recoleta · Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt3-1Deportes Recoleta
- Puerto Montt2-1Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta0-1Puerto Montt
- Deportes Recoleta0-3Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt1-0Deportes Recoleta
| Deportes Recoleta | Draw | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Montt (rating 1458 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Puerto Montt: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta 0–0–5 Puerto Montt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 13/08/23 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 25/03/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Puerto Montt |
| 20/08/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 09/04/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 27 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | CD Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Magallanes | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Recoleta (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 29/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Recoleta win (39%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta 39%, draw 29%, Puerto Montt 32%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Deportes Recoleta 1.28 · Puerto Montt 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.