Football · Chile Primera B · 02/08, 18:30
Prediction: Magallanes vs Union Espanola
Team pages: Magallanes · Union Espanola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Magallanes1.6
Union Espanola1.41
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
Union Espanola
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Union Espanola
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
6–0
Union Espanola
(6 last)
- Union Espanola1-2Magallanes
- Union Espanola0-5Magallanes
- Magallanes3-0Union Espanola
- Magallanes1-0Union Espanola
- Union Espanola1-2Magallanes
- Union Espanola1-2Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1444 · Union Espanola 1488
| Magallanes | Draw | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (rating 1444 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Magallanes: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 6–0–0 Union Espanola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 Chile Primera B | Union Espanola | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Magallanes |
| 13/07/24 Chile Cup | Union Espanola | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Magallanes |
| 07/07/24 Chile Cup | Magallanes | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Union Espanola |
| 05/08/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Magallanes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola |
| 03/08/23 Chile Cup | Union Espanola | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Magallanes |
| 17/02/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 27 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | CD Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | Union Espanola |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 11/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
Union Espanola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Union Espanola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (41%). Probabilities: Magallanes 41%, draw 26%, Union Espanola 33%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Union Espanola?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Magallanes 1.6 · Union Espanola 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Union Espanola?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.