Football · Chile Primera B · 01/08, 21:00
Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe
Team pages: CD Antofagasta · Union San Felipe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
CD Antofagasta1.94
Union San Felipe0.97
1X2
CD Antofagasta
Draw
Union San Felipe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Union San Felipe
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta
2–2–2
Union San Felipe
(6 last)
- Union San Felipe2-0CD Antofagasta
- Union San Felipe0-2CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta2-2Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-1CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta4-1Union San Felipe
- CD Antofagasta1-2Union San Felipe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1536 · Union San Felipe 1476
| CD Antofagasta | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1536 vs 1476).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Antofagasta | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 2–2–2 Union San Felipe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 23/08/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 20/04/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Union San Felipe |
| 18/08/24 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 07/04/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 16/07/23 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 26 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | CD Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Antofagasta | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| San Luis Quillota | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (59%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 59%, draw 23%, Union San Felipe 18%.
How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 2.91 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.94 · Union San Felipe 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.