Football · Chile Primera B · 02/08, 23:30

Prediction: Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Santiago Wanderers

Team pages: Club Deportes Santa Cruz · Santiago Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.55

Santiago Wanderers1.57

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Draw Santiago Wanderers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Deportes Santa Cruz 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWDWLL

Santiago Wanderers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLLLW

Head-to-head

Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1–2–3 Santiago Wanderers (6 last)

Santiago Wanderers3-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Santiago Wanderers1-1Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Club Deportes Santa Cruz2-2Santiago Wanderers
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-2Santiago Wanderers
Santiago Wanderers1-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-2Santiago Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1486 · Santiago Wanderers 1503

	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	Draw	Santiago Wanderers
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	Santiago Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.5	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.40▲	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:32 +1’	2.70	3.30	2.25
06:34 +2’	2.40▼	3.30	2.50▲
11:54 +2’	2.45▲	3.30	2.40▼
13:18 +3’	2.50▲	3.40▲	2.35▼
19:18 +8’	2.45▼	3.40	2.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1–2–3 Santiago Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/26 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	3-2 HT 2-2	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
14/09/25 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
18/05/25 Chile Primera B	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	2-2 HT 0-2	Santiago Wanderers
21/07/24 Chile Primera B	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	1-2 HT 0-1	Santiago Wanderers
04/03/24 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	1-2 HT 0-1	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
17/06/23 Chile Primera B	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	1-2 HT 0-1	Santiago Wanderers

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cobreloa	16	9	5	2	34	19	32
2	Santiago Wanderers	16	8	5	3	31	18	29
3	San Marcos De Arica	17	7	8	2	22	12	29
4	San Luis Quillota	17	7	6	4	27	23	27
5	Puerto Montt	16	8	2	6	20	18	26
6	Union Espanola	16	7	4	5	23	20	25
7	Deportes Temuco	16	6	5	5	26	19	23
8	CD Antofagasta	16	6	5	5	24	19	23
9	Deportes Copiapo	16	6	5	5	21	23	23
10	Deportes Recoleta	16	6	4	6	25	26	22
11	Magallanes	16	6	4	6	24	26	22
12	Curico Unido	16	4	6	6	17	26	18
13	Deportes Iquique	17	3	8	6	21	24	17
14	Union San Felipe	16	4	4	8	13	29	16
15	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	16	2	6	8	21	30	12
16	Rangers de Talca	17	0	5	12	12	29	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa	2-4 L	5-1 W
Rangers de Talca	1-0 W	2-0 W
Deportes Copiapo	1-1 D	0-1 L
Deportes Temuco	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

LLDDWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	1-2	2-4	11	4	L
11/07	Palestino Chile Cup	0-1	2-3	3	8	L
05/07	Audax Italiano Chile Cup	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
27/06	Palestino Chile Cup	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
20/06	Audax Italiano Chile Cup	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
07/06	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
02/06	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
24/05	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
19/05	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	2-2	2-3	7	4	L
09/05	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	0-1	0-1	10	9	L

Santiago Wanderers

DWWWDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
05/07	Universidad de Chile Chile Cup	1-2	2-3	10	7	L
28/06	Union La Calera Chile Cup	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
21/06	Universidad de Chile Chile Cup	0-2	1-4	4	5	L
06/06	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	0-1	0-1	8	10	L
30/05	Union Espanola Chile Primera B	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
23/05	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
16/05	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
10/05	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	1-1	5-1	7	10	W
03/05	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	2-1	2-2	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Santiago Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Deportes Santa Cruz win (37%). Probabilities: Club Deportes Santa Cruz 37%, draw 26%, Santiago Wanderers 37%.

How many goals are expected in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Santiago Wanderers?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.55 · Santiago Wanderers 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Santiago Wanderers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.