Football · Chile Primera B · 01/08, 23:30
Prediction: Curico Unido vs Cobreloa
Team pages: Curico Unido · Cobreloa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Curico Unido1.41
Cobreloa1.45
1X2
Curico Unido
Draw
Cobreloa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Curico Unido
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Cobreloa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Curico Unido
1–2–3
Cobreloa
(6 last)
- Cobreloa5-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido0-2Cobreloa
- Cobreloa3-2Curico Unido
- Curico Unido5-2Cobreloa
- Cobreloa0-0Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-1Cobreloa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Curico Unido 1477 · Cobreloa 1552
| Curico Unido | Draw | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1477 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curico Unido | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 3.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curico Unido 1–2–3 Cobreloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Curico Unido |
| 02/11/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cobreloa |
| 20/06/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Curico Unido |
| 12/02/17 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Cobreloa |
| 16/10/16 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 17/01/16 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cobreloa |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 26 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | CD Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curico Unido
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Cobreloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curico Unido vs Cobreloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cobreloa win (37%). Probabilities: Curico Unido 36%, draw 27%, Cobreloa 37%.
How many goals are expected in Curico Unido vs Cobreloa?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Curico Unido 1.41 · Cobreloa 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Curico Unido vs Cobreloa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.