Football · Chile Primera B · 25/07, 21:00
Prediction: Curico Unido vs San Luis Quillota
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Curico Unido1.36
San Luis Quillota1.29
1X2
Curico Unido
Draw
San Luis Quillota
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Curico Unido
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
San Luis Quillota
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Curico Unido
3–1–2
San Luis Quillota
(6 last)
- San Luis Quillota1-1Curico Unido
- Curico Unido1-3San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-0Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Curico Unido 1510 · San Luis Quillota 1556
| Curico Unido | Draw | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1510 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Curico Unido: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curico Unido | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curico Unido 3–1–2 San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 13/09/25 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-3 HT 1-2 | San Luis Quillota |
| 17/05/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 28/09/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Curico Unido |
| 12/05/24 Chile Primera B | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 22/07/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Curico Unido | San Luis Quillota |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Puerto Montt | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curico Unido vs San Luis Quillota?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Curico Unido win (38%). Probabilities: Curico Unido 38%, draw 28%, San Luis Quillota 34%.
How many goals are expected in Curico Unido vs San Luis Quillota?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Curico Unido 1.36 · San Luis Quillota 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Curico Unido vs San Luis Quillota?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.