Football · Chile Primera B · 26/07, 18:30
Prediction: Puerto Montt vs CD Antofagasta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Puerto Montt1.13
CD Antofagasta1.18
1X2
Puerto Montt
Draw
CD Antofagasta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
CD Antofagasta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt
1–1–1
CD Antofagasta
(3 last)
- CD Antofagasta1-2Puerto Montt
- CD Antofagasta1-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt1-4CD Antofagasta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1510 · CD Antofagasta 1539
| Puerto Montt | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Montt | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.9 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 1–1–1 CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Puerto Montt |
| 01/10/23 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 21/05/23 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-4 HT 1-3 | CD Antofagasta |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | CD Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Cobreloa | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Magallanes | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 29/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs CD Antofagasta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Antofagasta win (36%). Probabilities: Puerto Montt 34%, draw 29%, CD Antofagasta 36%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Montt vs CD Antofagasta?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Puerto Montt 1.13 · CD Antofagasta 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Montt vs CD Antofagasta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.