Football · Chile Primera B · 26/07, 18:30
Prediction: Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Rangers de Talca1.06
Deportes Copiapo1.01
1X2
Rangers de Talca
Draw
Deportes Copiapo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rangers de Talca
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Deportes Copiapo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rangers de Talca
1–1–4
Deportes Copiapo
(6 last)
- Deportes Copiapo2-0Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca0-0Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo3-0Rangers de Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rangers de Talca 1405 · Deportes Copiapo 1477
| Rangers de Talca | Draw | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 33% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Copiapo (rating 1405 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers de Talca | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers de Talca 1–1–4 Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 27/07/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 08/03/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 01/10/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 07/05/22 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 12/09/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rangers de Talca | Deportes Copiapo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Cobreloa | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Union San Felipe | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rangers de Talca win (36%). Probabilities: Rangers de Talca 36%, draw 30%, Deportes Copiapo 34%.
How many goals are expected in Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Rangers de Talca 1.06 · Deportes Copiapo 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rangers de Talca vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.