Football · Chile Primera B · 25/07, 18:30
Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Union San Felipe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Santiago Wanderers1.98
Union San Felipe1.11
1X2
Santiago Wanderers
Draw
Union San Felipe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Union San Felipe
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers
2–1–3
Union San Felipe
(6 last)
- Union San Felipe1-1Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers3-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe2-1Santiago Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1484 · Union San Felipe 1482
| Santiago Wanderers | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union San Felipe: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 2–1–3 Union San Felipe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 07/02/26 Chile Cup | Santiago Wanderers | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 01/02/26 Chile Cup | Union San Felipe | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 22/07/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 13/05/25 Chile Cup | Santiago Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 02/03/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiago Wanderers | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Union La Calera | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Copiapo | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Union Espanola | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportes Temuco | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/04 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (56%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 56%, draw 24%, Union San Felipe 20%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.98 · Union San Felipe 1.11), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.