Football · Chile Primera B · 13/08, 00:00
Prediction: Magallanes vs Cobreloa
Team pages: Magallanes · Cobreloa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Magallanes1.67
Cobreloa1.56
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
Cobreloa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Cobreloa
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
0–3–3
Cobreloa
(6 last)
- Cobreloa1-1Magallanes
- Magallanes3-4Cobreloa
- Cobreloa2-0Magallanes
- Cobreloa1-1Magallanes
- Magallanes0-0Cobreloa
- Cobreloa1-0Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1469 · Cobreloa 1544
| Magallanes | Draw | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1469 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 0–3–3 Cobreloa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Magallanes |
| 17/08/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 3-4 HT 1-4 | Cobreloa |
| 12/04/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 29/09/22 Chile Cup | Cobreloa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 23/09/22 Chile Cup | Magallanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 06/08/22 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 28 |
| 7 | Magallanes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 28 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 18 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 17 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 11/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Cobreloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (40%). Probabilities: Magallanes 40%, draw 24%, Cobreloa 35%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Cobreloa?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Magallanes 1.67 · Cobreloa 1.56), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Cobreloa?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.