Football · Chile Primera B · 01/08, 00:00
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Rangers de Talca
Team pages: San Luis Quillota · Rangers de Talca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
San Luis Quillota1.55
Rangers de Talca1.07
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
Rangers de Talca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Rangers de Talca
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
1–3–2
Rangers de Talca
(6 last)
- Rangers de Talca1-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-2Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca2-2San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-2Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca2-4San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-0Rangers de Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1564 · Rangers de Talca 1423
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1564 vs 1423).
- H2H favours Rangers de Talca: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 1.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 1–3–2 Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 21/07/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 01/03/25 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 2-2 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 06/08/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 24/03/24 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 2-4 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 09/09/23 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 26 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | CD Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Rangers de Talca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (47%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 47%, draw 28%, Rangers de Talca 25%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Rangers de Talca?
The model expects 2.62 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.55 · Rangers de Talca 1.07), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Rangers de Talca?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.