Football · Chile Primera B · 14/08, 00:00

Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Temuco

Team pages: San Luis Quillota · Deportes Temuco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

San Luis Quillota1.57

Deportes Temuco1.05

1X2

49% 27% 25%

San Luis Quillota Draw Deportes Temuco

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

San Luis Quillota 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDWWDD

Deportes Temuco 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLLLLL

Head-to-head

San Luis Quillota 3–3–0 Deportes Temuco (6 last)

Deportes Temuco1-1San Luis Quillota
San Luis Quillota1-1Deportes Temuco
Deportes Temuco0-1San Luis Quillota
San Luis Quillota1-1Deportes Temuco
Deportes Temuco0-3San Luis Quillota
Deportes Temuco1-2San Luis Quillota

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1541 · Deportes Temuco 1424

	San Luis Quillota	Draw	Deportes Temuco
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1541 vs 1424).
H2H favours San Luis Quillota: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Luis Quillota	Deportes Temuco
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.1	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.97 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.45
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +9’	1.83	3.40	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12	1.97	3.45	3.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 3–3–0 Deportes Temuco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Chile Primera B	Deportes Temuco	1-1 HT 1-0	San Luis Quillota
26/08/25 Chile Primera B	San Luis Quillota	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Temuco
18/04/25 Chile Primera B	Deportes Temuco	0-1 HT 0-0	San Luis Quillota
31/08/24 Chile Primera B	San Luis Quillota	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Temuco
20/04/24 Chile Primera B	Deportes Temuco	0-3 HT 0-1	San Luis Quillota
22/07/23 Chile Primera B	Deportes Temuco	1-2 HT 0-1	San Luis Quillota

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cobreloa	18	9	7	2	35	20	34
2	Santiago Wanderers	18	9	6	3	35	20	33
3	San Marcos De Arica	18	7	9	2	23	13	30
4	Puerto Montt	19	9	3	7	21	19	30
5	CD Antofagasta	18	8	5	5	32	20	29
6	San Luis Quillota	18	7	7	4	28	24	28
7	Magallanes	18	8	4	6	31	31	28
8	Union Espanola	19	8	4	7	26	26	28
9	Deportes Copiapo	18	7	6	5	26	25	27
10	Deportes Temuco	18	6	5	7	30	27	23
11	Deportes Recoleta	18	6	5	7	25	27	23
12	Curico Unido	18	4	8	6	17	26	20
13	Deportes Iquique	18	3	9	6	22	25	18
14	Union San Felipe	18	4	5	9	14	34	17
15	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	18	2	7	9	22	33	13
16	Rangers de Talca	18	0	6	12	12	29	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Luis Quillota	Deportes Temuco
Deportes Copiapo	1-1 D	1-4 L
Curico Unido	2-1 W	0-1 L
San Marcos De Arica	1-0 W	1-0 W
Magallanes	2-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

San Luis Quillota

WDWDLDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
25/07	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
11/07	Universidad Catolica Chile Cup	1-0	4-0	3	10	W
04/07	Everton de Vina Chile Cup	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
28/06	Universidad Catolica Chile Cup	1-2	2-4	7	5	L
21/06	Everton de Vina Chile Cup	0-2	2-2	9	5	D
06/06	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
30/05	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
25/05	Magallanes Chile Primera B	1-1	2-1	11	5	W

Deportes Temuco

WWLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	2-1	3-4	9	2	L
04/08	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-1	1-4	11	3	L
25/07	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
12/07	Huachipato Chile Cup	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
07/07	Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
28/06	Huachipato Chile Cup	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
21/06	Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
09/06	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
31/05	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
24/05	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	2-0	5-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Temuco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (49%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 49%, draw 27%, Deportes Temuco 25%.

How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Temuco?

The model expects 2.62 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.57 · Deportes Temuco 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Deportes Temuco?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.