Football · Chile Primera B · 29/08, 21:00
Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes
Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Magallanes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Santiago Wanderers1.77
Magallanes1.54
1X2
Santiago Wanderers
Draw
Magallanes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Magallanes
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers
2–1–3
Magallanes
(6 last)
- Magallanes2-3Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers1-2Magallanes
- Magallanes0-0Santiago Wanderers
- Magallanes2-1Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers2-3Magallanes
- Magallanes0-1Santiago Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1507 · Magallanes 1507
| Santiago Wanderers | Draw | Magallanes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Magallanes: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers | Magallanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 2–1–3 Magallanes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 01/11/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Magallanes |
| 21/06/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 11/08/24 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 31/03/24 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Magallanes |
| 12/08/22 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiago Wanderers | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Union Espanola | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Rangers de Talca | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Wanderers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (42%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 42%, draw 26%, Magallanes 32%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.77 · Magallanes 1.54), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.