Football · Chile Primera B · 06/09, 02:00
Prediction: San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Copiapo
Team pages: San Marcos De Arica · Deportes Copiapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
San Marcos De Arica1.51
Deportes Copiapo0.88
1X2
San Marcos De Arica
Draw
Deportes Copiapo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
San Marcos De Arica
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Deportes Copiapo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Marcos De Arica
1–1–4
Deportes Copiapo
(6 last)
- Deportes Copiapo0-3San Marcos De Arica
- Deportes Copiapo3-1San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica0-1Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo1-1San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica0-1Deportes Copiapo
- San Marcos De Arica2-3Deportes Copiapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Marcos De Arica 1420 · Deportes Copiapo 1469
| San Marcos De Arica | Draw | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Copiapo (rating 1420 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Marcos De Arica | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.7 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Marcos De Arica 1–1–4 Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 0-3 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 11/10/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-1 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 31/05/25 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 12/10/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 09/07/21 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 03/01/21 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | CD Antofagasta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 37 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportes Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 31 |
| 9 | San Marcos De Arica | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 21 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 21 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 17 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Marcos De Arica | Deportes Copiapo |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Union Espanola | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 06/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Marcos De Arica win (51%). Probabilities: San Marcos De Arica 51%, draw 27%, Deportes Copiapo 21%.
How many goals are expected in San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model expects 2.39 goals (San Marcos De Arica 1.51 · Deportes Copiapo 0.88), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.