Football · Chile Primera B · 05/09, 18:30
Prediction: Magallanes vs Union San Felipe
Team pages: Magallanes · Union San Felipe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Magallanes1.76
Union San Felipe0.92
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
Union San Felipe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Union San Felipe
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
4–1–1
Union San Felipe
(6 last)
- Union San Felipe0-1Magallanes
- Magallanes2-0Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-0Magallanes
- Union San Felipe0-0Magallanes
- Magallanes2-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-4Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1499 · Union San Felipe 1430
| Magallanes | Draw | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magallanes (rating 1499 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Magallanes: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Union San Felipe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.5 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 4–1–1 Union San Felipe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Magallanes |
| 29/08/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 27/04/25 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 13/10/24 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 25/05/24 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union San Felipe |
| 03/10/22 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 41 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 41 |
| 3 | CD Antofagasta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 37 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 31 |
| 8 | Puerto Montt | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | San Marcos De Arica | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 21 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 21 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 17 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 37 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | Union San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-3 W | 0-5 L |
| Union Espanola | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| San Marcos De Arica | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Magallanes (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (56%). Probabilities: Magallanes 56%, draw 25%, Union San Felipe 19%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Magallanes 1.76 · Union San Felipe 0.92), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.