Football · Chile Primera B · 05/09, 21:00

Prediction: Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola

Team pages: Club Deportes Santa Cruz · Union Espanola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.42

Union Espanola1.15

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Club Deportes Santa Cruz Draw Union Espanola

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Deportes Santa Cruz 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLDWLLD

Union Espanola 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Club Deportes Santa Cruz 0–1 Union Espanola (1 last)

Union Espanola2-0Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1463 · Union Espanola 1466

	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	Draw	Union Espanola
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	42%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	Union Espanola
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.3	2.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 06:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15
X	3.25 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	2.55 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +6’	2.45	3.25	2.55
17:02 +4’	2.50▲	3.10▼	2.60▲
20:08 +35’	2.05▼	3.20▲	3.20▲
03:28 +4’	2.00▼	3.25▲	3.25▲
06:36 +6’	2.15▲	3.20▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 0–0–1 Union Espanola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/26 Chile Primera B	Union Espanola	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santiago Wanderers	23	12	8	3	40	22	44
2	Cobreloa	22	11	8	3	40	23	41
3	CD Antofagasta	22	10	7	5	40	22	37
4	San Luis Quillota	22	9	8	5	32	26	35
5	Magallanes	22	10	5	7	38	37	35
6	Union Espanola	22	10	4	8	29	28	34
7	Puerto Montt	23	10	4	9	25	27	34
8	Deportes Recoleta	22	8	7	7	32	31	31
9	San Marcos De Arica	22	7	9	6	25	20	30
10	Deportes Copiapo	22	8	6	8	31	35	30
11	Deportes Temuco	23	7	7	9	36	34	28
12	Deportes Iquique	23	5	10	8	31	28	25
13	Curico Unido	23	5	9	9	20	34	21
14	Union San Felipe	22	5	6	11	15	37	21
15	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	22	3	8	11	24	37	17
16	Rangers de Talca	23	3	6	14	20	37	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	Union Espanola
Union San Felipe	0-0 D	2-2 D
Magallanes	0-1 L	2-3 L
Puerto Montt	0-0 D	1-0 W
Santiago Wanderers	1-3 L	2-2 D
Cobreloa	2-4 L	1-0 W
Rangers de Talca	1-0 W	0-1 L
Deportes Copiapo	1-1 D	1-3 L
CD Antofagasta	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

DDWLLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
22/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
18/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-2	0-2	7	4	L
14/08	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
08/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
02/08	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	0-1	1-3	6	6	L
25/07	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	1-2	2-4	11	4	L
07/06	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
02/06	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
24/05	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	4	7	D

Union Espanola

LDDWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
22/08	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
16/08	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
12/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
02/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
28/07	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
09/06	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	2-1	2-2	2	7	D
26/05	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-3	1-3	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Deportes Santa Cruz win (42%). Probabilities: Club Deportes Santa Cruz 42%, draw 29%, Union Espanola 29%.

How many goals are expected in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.42 · Union Espanola 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.