Football · Chile Primera B · 05/09, 23:30
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Cobreloa
Team pages: San Luis Quillota · Cobreloa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
San Luis Quillota1.38
Cobreloa1.15
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
Cobreloa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Cobreloa
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
1–3–2
Cobreloa
(6 last)
- Cobreloa3-1San Luis Quillota
- Cobreloa1-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-1Cobreloa
- Cobreloa1-0San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota2-1Cobreloa
- San Luis Quillota0-0Cobreloa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1543 · Cobreloa 1537
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.6 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 1–3–2 Cobreloa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 3-1 HT 2-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 31/08/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 27/04/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 09/10/23 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 28/05/23 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cobreloa |
| 05/07/22 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 41 |
| 3 | CD Antofagasta | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 37 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportes Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 31 |
| 9 | San Marcos De Arica | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 21 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 21 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 17 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis Quillota | Cobreloa |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Rangers de Talca | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Curico Unido | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Magallanes | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis Quillota (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Cobreloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (41%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 41%, draw 28%, Cobreloa 30%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Cobreloa?
The model expects 2.53 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.38 · Cobreloa 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Cobreloa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.