Football · Chile Primera B · 05/09, 00:00

Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique

Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Deportes Iquique

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Santiago Wanderers1.47

Deportes Iquique1.24

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Santiago Wanderers Draw Deportes Iquique

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Santiago Wanderers 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDDWW

Deportes Iquique 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDWDWL

Head-to-head

Santiago Wanderers 0–3–3 Deportes Iquique (6 last)

Deportes Iquique2-1Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Iquique3-3Santiago Wanderers
Santiago Wanderers1-1Deportes Iquique
Deportes Iquique3-2Santiago Wanderers
Santiago Wanderers1-1Deportes Iquique
Deportes Iquique2-1Santiago Wanderers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1507 · Deportes Iquique 1547

	Santiago Wanderers	Draw	Deportes Iquique
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Iquique (rating 1507 vs 1547).
H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santiago Wanderers	Deportes Iquique
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	3.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.27 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.96

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +9’	2.15	3.30	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:26	2.27	3.20	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 0–3–3 Deportes Iquique

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/26 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	2-1 HT 1-1	Santiago Wanderers
10/12/23 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	3-3 HT 2-1	Santiago Wanderers
04/12/23 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportes Iquique
15/10/23 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	3-2 HT 1-1	Santiago Wanderers
04/06/23 Chile Primera B	Santiago Wanderers	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportes Iquique
02/07/22 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	2-1 HT 1-0	Santiago Wanderers

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cobreloa	22	11	8	3	40	23	41
2	Santiago Wanderers	22	11	8	3	39	22	41
3	CD Antofagasta	22	10	7	5	40	22	37
4	San Luis Quillota	22	9	8	5	32	26	35
5	Magallanes	22	10	5	7	38	37	35
6	Union Espanola	22	10	4	8	29	28	34
7	Deportes Recoleta	22	8	7	7	32	31	31
8	Puerto Montt	22	9	4	9	23	27	31
9	San Marcos De Arica	22	7	9	6	25	20	30
10	Deportes Copiapo	22	8	6	8	31	35	30
11	Deportes Temuco	22	7	7	8	36	33	28
12	Deportes Iquique	22	5	10	7	31	27	25
13	Curico Unido	22	5	9	8	20	32	21
14	Union San Felipe	22	5	6	11	15	37	21
15	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	22	3	8	11	24	37	17
16	Rangers de Talca	22	2	6	14	19	37	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santiago Wanderers	Deportes Iquique
Magallanes	2-1 W	3-4 L
San Luis Quillota	1-0 W	0-1 L
Puerto Montt	1-1 D	4-0 W
CD Antofagasta	0-0 D	1-1 D
San Marcos De Arica	1-1 D	1-1 D
Deportes Copiapo	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Wanderers

WDLWWDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
25/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
13/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
08/08	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	7	8	D
02/08	Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
25/07	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
06/06	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	0-1	0-1	8	10	L
30/05	Union Espanola Chile Primera B	1-2	2-2	7	7	D
23/05	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W

Deportes Iquique

DLDWDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
22/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	2-0	4-0	2	6	W
17/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
14/08	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-0	4-0	0	2	W
08/08	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
01/08	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/07	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
07/06	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
31/05	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-2	3-4	6	4	L
23/05	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	12	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (41%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 41%, draw 28%, Deportes Iquique 31%.

How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.47 · Deportes Iquique 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Iquique?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.