Football · Chile Primera B · 24/10, 01:00
Prediction: Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes
Team pages: Deportes Iquique · Magallanes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Deportes Iquique1.79
Magallanes1.1
1X2
Deportes Iquique
Draw
Magallanes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Iquique
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Magallanes
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Iquique
0–3–2
Magallanes
(5 last)
- Magallanes4-3Deportes Iquique
- Magallanes1-0Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique1-1Magallanes
- Magallanes2-2Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique1-1Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique 1513 · Magallanes 1538
| Deportes Iquique | Draw | Magallanes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Magallanes: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Iquique | Magallanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique 0–3–2 Magallanes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 4-3 HT 2-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 31/07/22 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 16/03/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Magallanes |
| 27/09/21 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 23/05/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis Quillota | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 40 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 32 | 35 |
| 12 | Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 42 | 28 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 23 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 46 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Iquique | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Union San Felipe | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Puerto Montt | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Iquique
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 05/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
Magallanes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique win (53%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique 53%, draw 25%, Magallanes 22%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Deportes Iquique 1.79 · Magallanes 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.