Football · Chile Primera B · 28/07, 01:00
Prediction: Union Espanola vs Deportes Recoleta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Union Espanola1.51
Deportes Recoleta0.96
1X2
Union Espanola
Draw
Deportes Recoleta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Deportes Recoleta
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola
1–2
Deportes Recoleta
(3 last)
- Deportes Recoleta2-1Union Espanola
- Union Espanola1-2Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta0-1Union Espanola
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola 1490 · Deportes Recoleta 1470
| Union Espanola | Draw | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Recoleta: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 1–0–2 Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union Espanola |
| 08/02/26 Chile Cup | Union Espanola | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 01/02/26 Chile Cup | Deportes Recoleta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 16 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola | Deportes Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Colo Colo | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Iquique | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola vs Deportes Recoleta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola win (49%). Probabilities: Union Espanola 49%, draw 27%, Deportes Recoleta 23%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Union Espanola 1.51 · Deportes Recoleta 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola vs Deportes Recoleta?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.