Prediction: Fluminense vs Coritiba
Team pages: Fluminense · Coritiba
- Coritiba1-1Fluminense
- Fluminense2-1Coritiba
- Coritiba2-0Fluminense
- Fluminense5-2Coritiba
- Coritiba3-2Fluminense
- Coritiba3-3Fluminense
| Fluminense | Draw | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 63% | 22% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fluminense (rating 1535 vs 1477).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fluminense | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense 2–2–2 Coritiba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Coritiba | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fluminense |
| 26/11/23 Brazil Serie A | Fluminense | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Coritiba |
| 25/07/23 Brazil Serie A | Coritiba | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Fluminense |
| 21/08/22 Brazil Serie A | Fluminense | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Coritiba |
| 01/05/22 Brazil Serie A | Coritiba | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Fluminense |
| 21/01/21 Brazil Serie A | Coritiba | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Fluminense |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fluminense | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Vasco da Gama | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Athletico Paranaense | 3-3 D | 3-3 D |
| Remo | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Palmeiras | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Bragantino | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fluminense (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fluminense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/07 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 9 | D |
Coritiba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/07 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fluminense vs Coritiba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fluminense win (64%). Probabilities: Fluminense 64%, draw 22%, Coritiba 14%.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Coritiba?
The model expects 3 goals (Fluminense 2.09 · Coritiba 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Coritiba?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.