Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 17/07, 12:30
Prediction: West Torrens Birkalla vs Para Hills Knights
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.73Total
West Torrens Birkalla3.36
Para Hills Knights1.36
1X2
West Torrens Birkalla
Draw
Para Hills Knights
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
West Torrens Birkalla
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Para Hills Knights
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Torrens Birkalla
2–2–2
Para Hills Knights
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Torrens Birkalla 1517 · Para Hills Knights 1370
| West Torrens Birkalla | Draw | Para Hills Knights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 91% | 6% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.73 goals · Bet365 line 4.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Torrens Birkalla (rating 1517 vs 1370).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Torrens Birkalla | Para Hills Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 0.5 / 4.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0 / 2.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 0/10/90% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Torrens Birkalla 2–2–2 Para Hills Knights
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | West Torrens Birkalla | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Para Hills Knights |
| 23/02/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Para Hills Knights | 3-3 HT 2-0 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 15/07/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Para Hills Knights |
| 25/04/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Para Hills Knights | 2-4 HT 1-3 | West Torrens Birkalla |
| 18/09/21 Australia South Australia State League 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Para Hills Knights |
| 03/07/21 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Para Hills Knights | 2-2 HT 1-0 | West Torrens Birkalla |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metrostars | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Adelaide City | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | West Torrens Birkalla | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Croydon FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Playford | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 21 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 19 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 17 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 76 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Torrens Birkalla | Para Hills Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Metrostars | 1-3 L | 0-9 L |
| Sturt Lions | 4-1 W | 0-6 L |
| White City FK Beograd | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Campbelltown City | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Croydon FC | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Adelaide Comets | 4-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Adelaide United NPL | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| West Adelaide | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: West Torrens Birkalla (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Torrens Birkalla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Fulham United FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Para Hills Knights
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-4 | 0-9 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Torrens Birkalla vs Para Hills Knights?
According to our model, the most likely result is a West Torrens Birkalla win (84%). Probabilities: West Torrens Birkalla 84%, draw 9%, Para Hills Knights 7%.
How many goals are expected in West Torrens Birkalla vs Para Hills Knights?
The model expects 4.73 goals (West Torrens Birkalla 3.36 · Para Hills Knights 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in West Torrens Birkalla vs Para Hills Knights?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.