Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 18/07, 07:30
Prediction: Playford vs Metrostars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Playford1.34
Metrostars2.34
1X2
Playford
Draw
Metrostars
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Playford
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Metrostars
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Playford
2–1–2
Metrostars
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Playford 1469 · Metrostars 1580
| Playford | Draw | Metrostars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metrostars (rating 1469 vs 1580).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Playford | Metrostars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 3.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.1 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Playford 2–1–2 Metrostars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Metrostars | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Playford |
| 19/07/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Playford | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Metrostars |
| 26/04/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Metrostars | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Playford |
| 07/05/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Playford | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Metrostars |
| 08/06/21 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Metrostars | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Playford |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metrostars | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Adelaide City | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | West Torrens Birkalla | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Croydon FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Playford | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 21 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 19 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 17 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 76 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Playford | Metrostars |
|---|---|---|
| Sturt Lions | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| White City FK Beograd | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Campbelltown City | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Croydon FC | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Adelaide Comets | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Adelaide United NPL | 0-0 D | 6-1 W |
| West Adelaide | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Adelaide City | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Para Hills Knights | 8-1 W | 9-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 4 L | 7 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Metrostars (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Playford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 16 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 8-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Metrostars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Playford vs Metrostars?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metrostars win (59%). Probabilities: Playford 20%, draw 21%, Metrostars 59%.
How many goals are expected in Playford vs Metrostars?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Playford 1.34 · Metrostars 2.34), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Playford vs Metrostars?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.