Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 17/07, 11:30
Prediction: Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Comets
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Campbelltown City1.78
Adelaide Comets1.16
1X2
Campbelltown City
Draw
Adelaide Comets
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Campbelltown City
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Adelaide Comets
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Campbelltown City
4–1–1
Adelaide Comets
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Campbelltown City 1464 · Adelaide Comets 1467
| Campbelltown City | Draw | Adelaide Comets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Campbelltown City: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Campbelltown City | Adelaide Comets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Campbelltown City 4–1–1 Adelaide Comets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Campbelltown City |
| 28/06/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Campbelltown City |
| 04/04/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Comets |
| 13/07/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Comets | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Campbelltown City |
| 12/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Campbelltown City | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Adelaide Comets |
| 20/04/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Adelaide Comets |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metrostars | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Adelaide City | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | West Torrens Birkalla | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Croydon FC | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Playford | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 26 | 26 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 21 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 19 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 17 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 76 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Campbelltown City | Adelaide Comets |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United NPL | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| West Adelaide | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Playford | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Metrostars | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Sturt Lions | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| White City FK Beograd | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Adelaide City | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Croydon FC | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 6 L | 3 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Comets (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Campbelltown City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
Adelaide Comets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Comets?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Campbelltown City win (51%). Probabilities: Campbelltown City 51%, draw 24%, Adelaide Comets 24%.
How many goals are expected in Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Comets?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Campbelltown City 1.78 · Adelaide Comets 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Campbelltown City vs Adelaide Comets?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.