Football · Australia South Australia Premier League · 31/07, 12:00

Prediction: Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City

Team pages: Campbelltown City · Adelaide City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Campbelltown City1.09

Adelaide City1.75

1X2

23% 24% 52%

Campbelltown City Draw Adelaide City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Campbelltown City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDDWD

Adelaide City 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Campbelltown City 2–1–3 Adelaide City (6 last)

Adelaide City2-1Campbelltown City
Campbelltown City2-6Adelaide City
Campbelltown City0-1Adelaide City
Adelaide City0-1Campbelltown City
Campbelltown City2-2Adelaide City
Adelaide City1-3Campbelltown City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Campbelltown City 1458 · Adelaide City 1602

	Campbelltown City	Draw	Adelaide City
Our model	23%	26%	52%
Market	24%	23%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide City (rating 1458 vs 1602).
H2H favours Adelaide City: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Campbelltown City	Adelaide City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.90

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 00:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.81
X	3.90 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.63
2	1.70 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.80 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +9’	3.75	3.90	1.70
13:01 +7’	3.90▲	3.75▼	1.70
14:07 +1’	3.75▼	3.90▲	1.70
15:00 +8’	3.90▲	3.75▼	1.70
23:58 +7’	3.75▼	3.60▼	1.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:08	3.80	3.75	1.77
15:06 +2’	3.81▲	3.65▼	1.80▲
16:06 +1’	3.81	3.57▼	1.82▲
17:08	3.81	3.63▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 4 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Campbelltown City 2–1–3 Adelaide City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	2-1 HT 1-0	Campbelltown City
06/02/26 Australia Friendlies	Campbelltown City	2-6 HT 1-1	Adelaide City
02/08/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Campbelltown City	0-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide City
09/05/25 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	0-1 HT 0-0	Campbelltown City
28/06/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	Campbelltown City	2-2 HT 0-1	Adelaide City
05/04/24 Australia South Australia Premier League	Adelaide City	1-3 HT 1-1	Campbelltown City

Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide City	19	11	6	2	36	16	39
2	West Torrens Birkalla	19	12	2	5	46	25	38
3	Metrostars	19	11	4	4	49	22	37
4	Playford	19	9	5	5	40	28	32
5	White City FK Beograd	19	9	3	7	31	22	30
6	Croydon FC	19	8	5	6	42	34	29
7	Sturt Lions	19	8	1	10	33	32	25
8	Adelaide United NPL	19	6	7	6	26	27	25
9	Campbelltown City	19	6	5	8	30	31	23
10	West Adelaide	19	5	7	7	36	35	22
11	Adelaide Comets	19	4	4	11	20	35	16
12	Para Hills Knights	19	0	1	18	9	91	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Campbelltown City	Adelaide City
Croydon FC	2-2 D	2-2 D
Adelaide Comets	1-0 W	1-0 W
Adelaide United NPL	0-0 D	0-0 D
West Adelaide	0-0 D	2-1 W
Playford	1-4 L	0-0 D
West Torrens Birkalla	1-2 L	1-0 W
Para Hills Knights	3-0 W	2-0 W
Metrostars	0-4 L	3-0 W
Sturt Lions	2-0 W	4-1 W
White City FK Beograd	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	6 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide City (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Campbelltown City

LWLWLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
17/07	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
27/06	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/06	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
12/06	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
06/06	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
30/05	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	0-3	0-4	5	2	L
23/05	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
16/05	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	1-1	1-3	5	5	L

Adelaide City

DDWWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
18/07	Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
04/07	Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
26/06	Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
20/06	Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
13/06	Adelaide United NPL Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
05/06	Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	7	8	W
31/05	West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
23/05	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League	2-1	2-2	3	9	D
16/05	Playford Australia South Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide City win (52%). Probabilities: Campbelltown City 23%, draw 24%, Adelaide City 52%.

How many goals are expected in Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Campbelltown City 1.09 · Adelaide City 1.75), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Campbelltown City vs Adelaide City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.