Prediction: Grei vs Heming

Team pages: Grei · Heming

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.36Total
Grei1.51
Heming2.85
1X2
17% 18% 64%
Grei Draw Heming
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Grei 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLWLL
Heming 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDLWLW
Head-to-head
Grei 1–0 Heming (1 last)
  • Heming2-3Grei
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grei 1409 · Heming 1516
GreiDrawHeming
Our model18%18%65%
Market17%19%64%
Estimated total (ours) 4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heming (rating 1409 vs 1516).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GreiHeming
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 3.32.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.11.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 32.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grei 100 Heming

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Norway Division 3 Group 1
Heming2-3
HT 1-2
Grei

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Asker 181611 682449
2 Gamle Oslo 191315 663540
3 Heming 191135 463036
4 Baerum 191126 603535
5 Valerenga 2 191117 465434
6 IF Ready 19865 463730
7 Frigg 18855 453829
8 FK Union Carl Berner 18819 272725
9 Lokomotiv Oslo 196211 355520
10 Ullern 195212 375317
11 Nordstrand 195212 314717
12 KFUM 2 185211 365517
13 Konnerud 195113 295116
14 Grei 194114 326313

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreiHeming
Baerum 1-7 L 3-1 W
KFUM 2 0-5 L 2-2 D
IF Ready 3-5 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Heming (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grei

LLLWLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 2-3 04 L
05/09 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-1 124 L
01/09 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-3 23 W
15/08 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-7 22 L
08/08 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 0-1 51 L
03/08 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-2 0-5 23 L
25/07 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 3-1 24 W
27/06 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-3 1-5 23 L
20/06 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-2 22 L
13/06 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 3-5 15 L

Heming

LWDWWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-1 32 W
04/09 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-2 75 L
30/08 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 5-2 74 W
15/08 Asker
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-2 2-5 L
08/08 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-1 62 D
01/08 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 3-1 61 W
25/07 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 3-1 43 W
28/06 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 2-2 21 D
20/06 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 1-0 79 W
13/06 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-4 71 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grei vs Heming?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Heming win (64%). Probabilities: Grei 17%, draw 18%, Heming 64%.

How many goals are expected in Grei vs Heming?

The model expects 4.36 goals (Grei 1.51 · Heming 2.85), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Grei vs Heming?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.