Prediction: Asker vs Nordstrand

Team pages: Asker · Nordstrand

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.62Total
Asker3.31
Nordstrand1.31
1X2
80% 12% 9%
Asker Draw Nordstrand
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Asker 10-0-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Nordstrand 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLLDW
Head-to-head
Asker 2–2–2 Nordstrand (6 last)
  • Nordstrand0-2Asker
  • Nordstrand2-1Asker
  • Asker4-2Nordstrand
  • Nordstrand2-2Asker
  • Nordstrand2-0Asker
  • Asker1-1Nordstrand
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asker 1619 · Nordstrand 1444
AskerDrawNordstrand
Our model75%14%11%
Market83%10%7%
Estimated total (ours) 4.62 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asker (rating 1619 vs 1444).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AskerNordstrand
Goals for / against (FT)4.1 / 1.42.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.41.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.61.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asker 2–2–2 Nordstrand

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/06/26
Norway Division 3 Group 1
Nordstrand0-2
HT 0-1
Asker
03/03/25
Europe Friendlies
Nordstrand2-1
HT 0-0
Asker
20/10/24
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Asker4-2
HT 3-0
Nordstrand
13/04/24
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Nordstrand2-2
HT 1-1
Asker
29/10/23
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Nordstrand2-0
HT 1-0
Asker
10/04/23
Norway Division 3 Group 6
Asker1-1
HT 1-0
Nordstrand

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Asker 191711 702552
2 Gamle Oslo 201316 673740
3 Heming 201235 503139
4 Baerum 201127 613735
5 Valerenga 2 201118 475634
6 IF Ready 20965 513933
7 Frigg 19955 473832
8 FK Union Carl Berner 19919 292828
9 Nordstrand 206212 364720
10 Ullern 206212 395420
11 Lokomotiv Oslo 206212 356020
12 KFUM 2 195212 386017
13 Konnerud 205114 295316
14 Grei 204115 336713

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAskerNordstrand
Gamle Oslo 2-1 W 1-2 L
KFUM 2 7-2 W 2-7 L
FK Union Carl Berner 2-1 W 1-1 D
Lokomotiv Oslo 6-0 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Asker (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asker

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 2-1 55 W
14/09 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
4-0 7-2 90 W
05/09 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-1 6-2 61 W
15/08 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-2 –– W
08/08 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-4 53 W
02/08 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 3-0 73 W
27/07 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-1 22 W
27/06 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 3-2 74 W
20/06 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-0 53 W
13/06 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-0 6-0 42 W

Nordstrand

LWLWLLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 5-0 34 W
12/09 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-1 33 D
05/09 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 0-1 63 L
01/09 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-2 3-5 73 L
17/08 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-3 2-7 44 L
08/08 Frigg
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-2 2-3 44 L
01/08 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 3-2 53 W
25/07 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-2 53 L
27/06 Grei
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-1 5-1 43 W
20/06 Asker
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-2 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asker vs Nordstrand?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asker win (80%). Probabilities: Asker 80%, draw 12%, Nordstrand 9%.

How many goals are expected in Asker vs Nordstrand?

The model expects 4.62 goals (Asker 3.31 · Nordstrand 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Asker vs Nordstrand?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.