Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 26/09, 18:30

Prediction: Lokomotiv Oslo vs Gamle Oslo

Team pages: Lokomotiv Oslo · Gamle Oslo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.54Total

Lokomotiv Oslo1.68

Gamle Oslo2.86

1X2

21% 18% 62%

Lokomotiv Oslo Draw Gamle Oslo

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Lokomotiv Oslo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLWWL

Gamle Oslo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Oslo 0–1 Gamle Oslo (1 last)

Gamle Oslo6-1Lokomotiv Oslo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Oslo 1463 · Gamle Oslo 1541

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Draw	Gamle Oslo
Our model	21%	18%	62%
Market	21%	18%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gamle Oslo (rating 1463 vs 1541).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lokomotiv Oslo	Gamle Oslo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.4	3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X5.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +5’	4.33	5.00	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Oslo 0–0–1 Gamle Oslo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Gamle Oslo	6-1 HT 2-0	Lokomotiv Oslo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	19	17	1	1	70	25	52
2	Gamle Oslo	20	13	1	6	67	37	40
3	Heming	20	12	3	5	50	31	39
4	Baerum	20	11	2	7	61	37	35
5	Valerenga 2	20	11	1	8	47	56	34
6	IF Ready	20	9	6	5	51	39	33
7	Frigg	19	9	5	5	47	38	32
8	FK Union Carl Berner	19	9	1	9	29	28	28
9	Nordstrand	20	6	2	12	36	47	20
10	Ullern	20	6	2	12	39	54	20
11	Lokomotiv Oslo	20	6	2	12	35	60	20
12	KFUM 2	19	5	2	12	38	60	17
13	Konnerud	20	5	1	14	29	53	16
14	Grei	20	4	1	15	33	67	13

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lokomotiv Oslo	Gamle Oslo
Nordstrand	0-5 L	2-1 W
Ullern	2-3 L	5-2 W
Valerenga 2	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gamle Oslo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Oslo

LLWLWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	0-5	1	4	L
13/09	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	4-1	5-2	4	5	W
07/09	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	3-0	4	7	W
30/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
15/08	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
01/08	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	2-3	3	6	L
27/07	KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
24/06	Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-6	4	3	L
20/06	Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-3	5	3	L

Gamle Oslo

LWWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	0	5	L
12/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
15/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-0	7-1	7	1	W
08/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-2	12	5	W
31/07	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
25/07	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
24/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	6-1	3	3	W
20/06	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	0-1	5	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Gamle Oslo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gamle Oslo win (62%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Oslo 21%, draw 18%, Gamle Oslo 62%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Gamle Oslo?

The model expects 4.54 goals (Lokomotiv Oslo 1.68 · Gamle Oslo 2.86), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Gamle Oslo?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.