Prediction: Heming vs Ullern
- Ullern1-3Heming
| Heming | Draw | Ullern | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | 63% | 18% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heming (rating 1539 vs 1466).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heming | Ullern | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heming 1–0–0 Ullern
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Ullern | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Heming |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | Gamle Oslo | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 67 | 37 | 40 |
| 3 | Heming | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 39 |
| 4 | Baerum | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 35 |
| 5 | Valerenga 2 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 56 | 34 |
| 6 | IF Ready | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 39 | 33 |
| 7 | Frigg | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 38 | 32 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
| 9 | Nordstrand | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 47 | 20 |
| 10 | Ullern | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 54 | 20 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 60 | 20 |
| 12 | KFUM 2 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 38 | 60 | 17 |
| 13 | Konnerud | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 53 | 16 |
| 14 | Grei | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 67 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heming | Ullern |
|---|---|---|
| Frigg | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Gamle Oslo | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Valerenga 2 | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Asker | 2-5 L | 2-6 L |
| IF Ready | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| KFUM 2 | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Heming (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heming
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
Ullern
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heming vs Ullern?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heming win (63%). Probabilities: Heming 63%, draw 18%, Ullern 19%.
How many goals are expected in Heming vs Ullern?
The model expects 4.45 goals (Heming 2.86 · Ullern 1.59), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Heming vs Ullern?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.