Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Grei vs Asker

Team pages: Grei · Asker

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.47Total
Grei1.23
Asker3.23
1X2
10% 12% 78%
Grei Draw Asker
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Grei 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWLLLW
Asker 10-0-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Grei 0–1 Asker (1 last)
  • Asker3-0Grei
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grei 1417 · Asker 1626
GreiDrawAsker
Our model10%14%76%
Market9%11%80%
Estimated total (ours) 4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asker (rating 1417 vs 1626).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GreiAsker
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 3.23.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.21.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.43.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.12.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grei 0–0–1 Asker

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Norway Division 3 Group 1
Asker3-0
HT 0-0
Grei

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Asker 211812 742955
2 Heming 221345 583643
3 Gamle Oslo 221327 694241
4 Valerenga 2 221318 525640
5 Baerum 211128 613935
6 FK Union Carl Berner 221129 403235
7 IF Ready 21966 534233
8 Frigg 21966 504533
9 Ullern 227213 425823
10 Lokomotiv Oslo 227213 406523
11 KFUM 2 226313 416421
12 Nordstrand 226214 365120
13 Grei 226115 407219
14 Konnerud 225215 345917

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGreiAsker
IF Ready 3-2 W 3-0 W
Heming 1-4 L 5-2 W
FK Union Carl Berner 0-1 L 2-1 W
Nordstrand 5-3 W 1-0 W
KFUM 2 0-5 L 7-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Asker (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grei

LWLLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 3-2 26 W
19/09 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-3 1-4 51 L
12/09 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 2-3 04 L
05/09 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 0-1 124 L
01/09 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-3 23 W
15/08 Baerum
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-1 1-7 22 L
08/08 Lokomotiv Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 0-1 51 L
03/08 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-2 0-5 23 L
25/07 Konnerud
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 3-1 24 W
27/06 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-3 1-5 23 L

Asker

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 1-0 71 W
20/09 Gamle Oslo
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-0 2-1 55 W
14/09 KFUM 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
4-0 7-2 90 W
05/09 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
3-1 6-2 61 W
15/08 Heming
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-2 –– W
08/08 Valerenga 2
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-1 5-4 53 W
02/08 IF Ready
Norway Division 3 Group 1
2-0 3-0 73 W
27/07 FK Union Carl Berner
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-1 22 W
27/06 Ullern
Norway Division 3 Group 1
0-1 3-2 74 W
20/06 Nordstrand
Norway Division 3 Group 1
1-0 2-0 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grei vs Asker?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Asker win (78%). Probabilities: Grei 10%, draw 12%, Asker 78%.

How many goals are expected in Grei vs Asker?

The model expects 4.47 goals (Grei 1.23 · Asker 3.23), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Grei vs Asker?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.