Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 04/10, 14:00
Prediction: Baerum vs IF Ready
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Baerum2.61
IF Ready1.83
1X2
Baerum
Draw
IF Ready
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Baerum
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
IF Ready
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Baerum
0–1–1
IF Ready
(2 last)
- IF Ready4-2Baerum
- IF Ready2-2Baerum
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Baerum 1479 · IF Ready 1469
| Baerum | Draw | IF Ready | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Market | 55% | 19% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baerum | IF Ready | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 7.5 | 3.1 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baerum 0–1–1 IF Ready
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | IF Ready | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Baerum |
| 01/03/25 Europe Friendlies | IF Ready | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Baerum |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 25 | 55 |
| 2 | Heming | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 42 |
| 3 | Gamle Oslo | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 68 | 41 | 40 |
| 4 | Valerenga 2 | 21 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 56 | 37 |
| 5 | Baerum | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 61 | 39 | 35 |
| 6 | IF Ready | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 42 | 33 |
| 7 | Frigg | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 44 | 32 |
| 8 | FK Union Carl Berner | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 32 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 61 | 23 |
| 10 | KFUM 2 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 61 | 21 |
| 11 | Nordstrand | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 48 | 20 |
| 12 | Ullern | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 57 | 20 |
| 13 | Konnerud | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 29 | 54 | 16 |
| 14 | Grei | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 69 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baerum | IF Ready |
|---|---|---|
| Valerenga 2 | 0-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Konnerud | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Grei | 7-1 W | 2-3 L |
| KFUM 2 | 5-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Heming | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Frigg | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baerum
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-4 | 2-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 7-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
4-2 | 6-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
IF Ready
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | KFUM 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-2 | 5-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 27/07 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 25/06 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baerum vs IF Ready?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Baerum win (54%). Probabilities: Baerum 54%, draw 19%, IF Ready 26%.
How many goals are expected in Baerum vs IF Ready?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Baerum 2.61 · IF Ready 1.83), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Baerum vs IF Ready?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.