Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: Frigg vs Gamle Oslo

Team pages: Frigg · Gamle Oslo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.51Total

Frigg2.17

Gamle Oslo2.34

1X2

37% 20% 43%

Frigg Draw Gamle Oslo

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Frigg 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDWLWL

Gamle Oslo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Frigg 3–1–1 Gamle Oslo (5 last)

Gamle Oslo1-3Frigg
Frigg9-3Gamle Oslo
Gamle Oslo2-2Frigg
Gamle Oslo2-5Frigg
Frigg1-3Gamle Oslo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frigg 1518 · Gamle Oslo 1510

	Frigg	Draw	Gamle Oslo
Our model	37%	20%	43%
Market	37%	20%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Frigg: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frigg	Gamle Oslo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.4	3.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X4.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.52.00

Under 4.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	4.40 → 4.40	Bet365 4.40
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +30’	2.45	4.40	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frigg 3–1–1 Gamle Oslo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Gamle Oslo	1-3 HT 0-3	Frigg
26/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Frigg	9-3 HT 5-2	Gamle Oslo
29/03/25 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Gamle Oslo	2-2 HT 1-1	Frigg
05/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Gamle Oslo	2-5 HT 1-2	Frigg
13/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Frigg	1-3 HT 0-1	Gamle Oslo

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Asker	20	18	1	1	71	25	55
2	Heming	21	13	3	5	53	31	42
3	Gamle Oslo	21	13	1	7	68	41	40
4	Valerenga 2	21	12	1	8	49	56	37
5	Baerum	21	11	2	8	61	39	35
6	IF Ready	21	9	6	6	53	42	33
7	Frigg	20	9	5	6	49	44	32
8	FK Union Carl Berner	21	10	2	9	36	31	32
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	21	7	2	12	39	61	23
10	KFUM 2	21	6	3	12	40	61	21
11	Nordstrand	21	6	2	13	36	48	20
12	Ullern	21	6	2	13	39	57	20
13	Konnerud	21	5	1	15	29	54	16
14	Grei	21	5	1	15	36	69	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frigg	Gamle Oslo
FK Union Carl Berner	2-6 L	3-1 W
Konnerud	2-0 W	7-1 W
Heming	1-5 L	2-1 W
IF Ready	5-2 W	3-2 W
Lokomotiv Oslo	2-2 D	1-4 L
Nordstrand	3-2 W	2-1 W
Ullern	2-2 D	5-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gamle Oslo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frigg

WDDDWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-5	2-6	2	2	L
19/09	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	1-5	7	2	L
05/09	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	5-2	7	4	W
15/08	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
01/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
27/07	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	3-3	7	8	D
27/06	Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
20/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	3-1	7	3	W

Gamle Oslo

WWWWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-2	1-4	0	6	L
20/09	Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	0	5	L
12/09	Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-2	3-2	6	6	W
15/08	Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1	5-0	7-1	7	1	W
08/08	Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-2	5-2	12	5	W
31/07	FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
25/07	Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
24/06	Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1	2-0	6-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frigg vs Gamle Oslo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gamle Oslo win (43%). Probabilities: Frigg 37%, draw 20%, Gamle Oslo 43%.

How many goals are expected in Frigg vs Gamle Oslo?

The model expects 4.51 goals (Frigg 2.17 · Gamle Oslo 2.34), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Frigg vs Gamle Oslo?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.