Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Trygg/Lade vs Grorud

Team pages: Trygg/Lade · Grorud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Trygg/Lade1.06

Grorud2.47

1X2

14% 19% 67%

Trygg/Lade Draw Grorud

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Trygg/Lade 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

Grorud 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Trygg/Lade 0–1 Grorud (1 last)

Grorud2-1Trygg/Lade

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trygg/Lade 1428 · Grorud 1519

	Trygg/Lade	Draw	Grorud
Our model	14%	19%	67%
Market	14%	19%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grorud (rating 1428 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trygg/Lade	Grorud
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.8	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.7	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.50

X4.75

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.88
2	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.41 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +22’	6.50	4.75	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:51	4.58	4.36	1.58
20:40 +1’	5.69▲	4.73▲	1.45▼
23:34 +1’	6.09▲	4.88▲	1.41▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trygg/Lade 0–0–1 Grorud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Grorud	2-1 HT 0-0	Trygg/Lade

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kjelsås	14	11	1	2	34	20	34
2	Eidsvold TF	14	10	2	2	33	13	32
3	Levanger	14	10	0	4	29	17	30
4	Honefoss	14	9	2	3	33	19	29
5	Lørenskog	14	8	2	4	26	15	26
6	Grorud	14	7	2	5	23	15	23
7	Tromsdalen	14	6	2	6	22	27	20
8	Stjørdals/Blink	14	5	2	7	23	25	17
9	Junkeren	14	5	2	7	18	25	17
10	Rana FK	13	4	2	7	22	27	14
11	Skeid	14	4	1	9	22	27	13
12	Follo	13	2	3	8	14	25	9
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	14	3	0	11	19	44	9
14	Trygg/Lade	14	2	1	11	18	37	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trygg/Lade	Grorud
Skeid	1-7 L	5-1 W
Lørenskog	1-4 L	0-1 L
Stjørdals/Blink	1-2 L	0-1 L
Tromsdalen	1-2 L	2-0 W
Levanger	0-3 L	2-3 L
Ullensaker/Kisa	4-2 W	1-2 L
Honefoss	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Grorud (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trygg/Lade

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
26/07	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-2	2	1	L
28/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-7	1	2	L
21/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	8	6	L
14/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
31/05	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
24/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
16/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	6	3	L
10/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-2	2	2	W
03/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-3	4	2	L

Grorud

DLWWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/07	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/06	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
21/06	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
13/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
31/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
23/05	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
14/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
10/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
02/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trygg/Lade vs Grorud?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Grorud win (67%). Probabilities: Trygg/Lade 14%, draw 19%, Grorud 67%.

How many goals are expected in Trygg/Lade vs Grorud?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Trygg/Lade 1.06 · Grorud 2.47), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Trygg/Lade vs Grorud?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.