Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 16/08, 15:00

Prediction: Skeid vs Levanger

Team pages: Skeid · Levanger

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Skeid1.37

Levanger1.79

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Skeid Draw Levanger

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Skeid 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLWLLL

Levanger 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Skeid 2–1 Levanger (3 last)

Levanger2-1Skeid
Skeid2-1Levanger
Levanger1-2Skeid

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skeid 1460 · Levanger 1546

	Skeid	Draw	Levanger
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1460 vs 1546).
H2H favours Skeid: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skeid	Levanger
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	3.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.80

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.40 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:05 +1’	3.10	3.80	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:50 +16’	3.40	3.67	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skeid 2–0–1 Levanger

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	2-1 HT 1-1	Skeid
11/09/21 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Skeid	2-1 HT 2-0	Levanger
21/07/21 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Levanger	1-2 HT 1-1	Skeid

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
2	Kjelsås	15	11	1	3	34	21	34
3	Honefoss	15	10	2	3	42	20	32
4	Levanger	15	10	0	5	30	19	30
5	Grorud	15	8	2	5	24	15	26
6	Lørenskog	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
7	Tromsdalen	15	7	2	6	24	27	23
8	Stjørdals/Blink	15	6	2	7	25	26	20
9	Junkeren	15	6	2	7	22	26	20
10	Rana FK	14	5	2	7	24	27	17
11	Skeid	15	4	1	10	22	29	13
12	Follo	14	2	3	9	15	29	9
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	15	3	0	12	20	53	9
14	Trygg/Lade	15	2	1	12	18	38	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skeid	Levanger
Grorud	1-5 L	3-2 W
Trygg/Lade	7-1 W	3-0 W
Follo	2-0 W	2-0 W
Kjelsås	0-1 L	1-4 L
Stjørdals/Blink	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skeid (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skeid

WLWLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
25/07	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
28/06	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	7-1	2	2	W
20/06	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
14/06	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	3-3	2	2	D
31/05	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
16/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
09/05	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	6	1	W

Levanger

WWLWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
02/08	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
25/07	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
28/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
20/06	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
14/06	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
25/05	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
16/05	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
10/05	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skeid vs Levanger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Levanger win (47%). Probabilities: Skeid 29%, draw 24%, Levanger 47%.

How many goals are expected in Skeid vs Levanger?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Skeid 1.37 · Levanger 1.79), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Skeid vs Levanger?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.