Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Kjelsås vs Junkeren

Team pages: Kjelsås · Junkeren

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Kjelsås2.49

Junkeren1.09

1X2

67% 18% 14%

Kjelsås Draw Junkeren

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kjelsås 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Junkeren 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kjelsås 3–0 Junkeren (3 last)

Junkeren2-3Kjelsås
Junkeren0-3Kjelsås
Kjelsås3-2Junkeren

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kjelsås 1538 · Junkeren 1503

	Kjelsås	Draw	Junkeren
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kjelsås: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kjelsås	Junkeren
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.45
2	6.25 → 6.25	Pinn 7.90 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:33 +8’	1.33	5.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:31 +10’	1.27	5.49	7.98
23:44	1.27▲	5.45▼	7.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kjelsås 3–0–0 Junkeren

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	2-3 HT 0-1	Kjelsås
27/07/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Junkeren	0-3 HT 0-1	Kjelsås
02/06/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Kjelsås	3-2 HT 1-2	Junkeren

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	16	12	2	2	41	14	38
2	Kjelsås	15	11	1	3	34	21	34
3	Honefoss	15	10	2	3	42	20	32
4	Levanger	15	10	0	5	30	19	30
5	Grorud	15	8	2	5	24	15	26
6	Lørenskog	16	8	2	6	27	24	26
7	Tromsdalen	15	7	2	6	24	27	23
8	Stjørdals/Blink	15	6	2	7	25	26	20
9	Junkeren	15	6	2	7	22	26	20
10	Rana FK	14	5	2	7	24	27	17
11	Skeid	15	4	1	10	22	29	13
12	Follo	14	2	3	9	15	29	9
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	15	3	0	12	20	53	9
14	Trygg/Lade	15	2	1	12	18	38	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kjelsås	Junkeren
Eidsvold TF	0-1 L	1-4 L
Levanger	4-1 W	0-3 L
Rana FK	3-2 W	2-1 W
Honefoss	1-3 L	4-3 W
Ullensaker/Kisa	3-0 W	3-0 W
Follo	4-1 W	4-1 W
Stjørdals/Blink	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kjelsås (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kjelsås

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	5	3	W
26/07	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
27/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
20/06	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	3-0	2	1	W
12/06	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-1	4-1	1	2	W
30/05	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
23/05	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
16/05	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/05	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	3-2	9	2	W

Junkeren

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	4-1	5	3	W
02/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
25/07	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
28/06	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
21/06	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
14/06	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
31/05	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
25/05	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	3-0	3-0	2	4	W
16/05	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
09/05	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kjelsås vs Junkeren?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kjelsås win (67%). Probabilities: Kjelsås 67%, draw 18%, Junkeren 14%.

How many goals are expected in Kjelsås vs Junkeren?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Kjelsås 2.49 · Junkeren 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kjelsås vs Junkeren?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.